Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001439 0.001610 0.001783 0.001970 0.002166 0.002366 0.002583
2025-01-05 0.001195 0.001442 0.001700 0.001987 0.002298 0.002620 0.002980
2025-01-12 0.001016 0.001320 0.001649 0.002025 0.002440 0.002880 0.003379
2025-01-19 0.000807 0.001144 0.001521 0.001967 0.002469 0.003012 0.003635
2025-01-26 0.000658 0.001020 0.001442 0.001952 0.002539 0.003183 0.003933
2025-02-02 0.000534 0.000912 0.001369 0.001937 0.002603 0.003344 0.004217
2025-02-09 0.000478 0.000883 0.001387 0.002024 0.002782 0.003633 0.004642
2025-02-16 0.000394 0.000807 0.001341 0.002031 0.002864 0.003809 0.004939
2025-02-23 0.000292 0.000693 0.001236 0.001958 0.002847 0.003868 0.005100
2025-03-02 0.000212 0.000595 0.001144 0.001895 0.002836 0.003929 0.005261
2025-03-09 0.000149 0.000513 0.001065 0.001843 0.002834 0.003999 0.005428
2025-03-16 0.000105 0.000451 0.001009 0.001816 0.002859 0.004097 0.005626
2025-03-23 0.000067 0.000398 0.000976 0.001839 0.002974 0.004335 0.006028
2025-03-30 0.000038 0.000352 0.000951 0.001873 0.003104 0.004595 0.006462
2025-04-06 0.000019 0.000316 0.000937 0.001921 0.003253 0.004882 0.006933
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000247 0.000858 0.001871 0.003275 0.005012 0.007218
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000201 0.000809 0.001862 0.003348 0.005204 0.007577
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000160 0.000762 0.001851 0.003415 0.005389 0.007928
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000151 0.000780 0.001938 0.003616 0.005740 0.008480
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000123 0.000749 0.001947 0.003707 0.005954 0.008865
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000082 0.000672 0.001877 0.003688 0.006025 0.009075
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000051 0.000605 0.001816 0.003676 0.006105 0.009292
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000029 0.000548 0.001766 0.003677 0.006196 0.009524